Decision-making under uncertainty
DecisionsShe applies cognitive behavioral science to decision-making, treating choices as bets made without having all the facts.
Hall of Masters
Annie Duke
애니 듀크
Strategy and mental modelsBorn 1965
Former professional poker player; author of Thinking in Bets
70 records in all
- Principles 24
- Episodes 21
- Quotes 25
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Principles
4 basic records of 24
Principles are our summary of their public statements.
Contextualize Probabilistic Thinking
DecisionsApply probabilistic logic only when it aligns with the goals of the interaction and the comfort level of the people involved.
Supporting quotes
I think that we confuse the two things - that we're allowed to set really high goals and believe that we will reach them, and at the exact same time, we can be thinking in expected value
Source Annie Duke Annie Duke on Poker, Probabilities, and How We Make Decisions (Ep. 99), 2020 (opens in a new tab)
1 more supporting quote is in the member records.
Prioritize Long-term Edge
MindsetSuccess requires moving away from short-term gains and focusing on concepts that sustain an advantage over a long period.
3 more supporting quotes are in the member records.
Obsess Over Your Own Mistakes
LearningEven after a major success, a high performer should focus on identifying and correcting the small errors they made along the way.
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